Economic Indicators
FY'03
FY'04
FY'05
FY'06
FY'07
Real GDP Growth Rate
4.7%
7.5%
8.9%
6.6%
7.0%
Agricultural Sector Real Growth Rate
4.1%
2.4%
6.5%
1.6%
5.0%
Manufacturing Sector Real Growth Rate
6.9%
14.0%
15.5%
10.0%
8.4%
Services Sector Real Growth Rate
5.2%
5.8%
8.5%
9.6%
8.0%
GNP (FC) (in PKR b)
4.686
5,375
6,257
7,279
8,387
per capita (in PKR b)
31,932
35,917
41,022
46,850
53,027
GNP (FC) (in US$ b)
81.06
92.42
104.85
120.96
138.77
per capita (in US$)
552.37
617.59
687.43
778.54
877.37
GNP (MP) (in PKR b)
5,027
5,765
6,634
7,744
8,868
per capita (in PKR b)
34,259
38,524
43,495
49,481
56,064
GNP (MP) (in US$ b)
86.97
99.13
111.18
128.68
146.72
per capita (in US$)
592.62
662.41
728.87
828.24
927.63
GDP (FC) (in PKR b)
4,534
95,251
6,123
7,129
8,227
per capita (in PKR b)
30,898
35,085
41,140
45,885
52,011
GDP (FC) (in US$ b)
78.43
90.28
102.60
118.47
136.11
per capita (in US$)
534.48
603.29
672.66
762.51
860.56
GDP (MP) (in PKR b)
4,876
5,641
6,500
7,594
8,707
per capita (in PKR b)
33,224
37,692
42,613
48,876
55,048
GDP (MP) (in US$ b)
84.34
96.99
108.92
126.19
144.06
per capita (in US$)
574.72
648.11
714.10
812.21
910.81
Population (m)
146.8
149.7
152.5
155.4
158.2
Monetary Sector
Currency/Deposits ratio
0.31
0.30
0.29
0.28
0.26
M2 / GDP
0.43
0.44
0.46
0.45
0.47
Private Sector Credit*/GDP 1 (%)
3.0%
5.8%
6.7%
5.3%
4.2%
Private Sector Credit/Deposits
60.0%
67.0%
75.0%
79.0%
77.0%
M2 Growth Rate
18.0%
19.6%
19.1%
15.1%
19.3%
Reserve Money Growth Rate
14.5%
15.4%
17.6%
10.2%
20.9%
Money Multiplier
3.10
3.22
3.26
3.40
3.36
Banking Sector
Capital Adequacy Ratio
8.5
10.5
11.3
11.9
13.4
Advances/ Deposits ratio
56.4%
65.8%
70.2%
69.9%
67.8%
Return on assets (After Tax)
1.0%
1.2%
1.9%
2.1%
2.3%
NPLs/Advances(gross)
17.0%
11.6%
8.3%
8.0%
7.1%
NPLs/Advances(net)
6.9%
3.8%
2.1%
2.1%
1.8%
Provisions/ NPLs
63.9%
70.4%
76.7%
77.8%
74.3%
Interest Rates
SBP 3 day Repo Rate (End Perios)
7.5%
7.5%
9.0%
9.0%
9.5%
Overnight Call Money Rate (Annual Average)
4.2%
1.9%
4.3%
8.5%
9.4%
Six Month Treasury Bill Weighted Average Rate (End Period)
1.7%
2.1%
8.0%
8.5%
8.9%
Six Month KIBOR (End Period)
2.2%
2.7%
8.5%
9.4%
9.8%
Weight Average Rates of Return on Deposits (End Period)
1.6%
1.0%
1.4%
2.0%
2.6%
Weight Average Rates of Return on Advances (End Period)
9.4%
7.3%
8.8%
10.6%
11.6%
Yield on Five Years PIBs - Weight Average (End Period)
4.2%
5.3%
7.5%
9.7%
9.5%
SBP Export Finance Scheme Rate (End Period)
2.0%
1.5%
6.5%
7.5%
6.5%
Inflation
Consumer Price Inflation (Average)
3.1%
4.6%
9.3%
7.9%
7.8%
Core Inflation
2.5%
3.8%
7.2%
7.5%
5.9%
Wholesale Price Inflation
5.6%
7.9%
6.8%
10.1%
6.9%
GDP Deflator
4.4%
7.7%
7.0%
9.2%
7.8%
Fiscal Balance
Fiscal Deficit (as % of GDP)
3.7%
2.4%
3.3%
4.3%
4.3%
Federal Government Revenue Receipts (PKR b)
702
761
875
1,023
1,214
Federal Government Expenditure (PKR b)
861
899
1,001
1,196
1,365
Federal Government Development Outlays (PKR b)
103
120
149
239
299
Savings
National Savings (as % of GDP)
20.8%
17.9%
16.5%
16.4%
17.2%
Domestic Savings (as % of GDP)
17.6%
15.7%
14.5%
14.4%
15.3%
National Savings (as % of GDP)
-3.8%
-1.3%
1.6%
3.7%
NA
External Sector
Trade Sector
Exports (US$ b)
11.160
12.27
14.391
16.451
16.976
Imports (US$ b)
12.22
15.592
20.598
28.581
30.54
Trade Surplus/(Defecit) (US $ b)
(1.06)
(3.32)
(6.21)
(12.13)
(13.56)
Trade Deficit (as % of GDP)
1.3%
3.4%
5.7%
9.6%
9.4%
Balance of Payment
Current Account Balance (US$ b)
4.07
1.81
(1.53)
(4.99)
(7.09)
Current Account Balance (% of GDP)
4.88%
1.85%
-1.40%
-3.93%
-4.94%
Financial Account Balance (US$ b)
(1.14)
(1.33)
0.45
5.83
10.11
Foreign Direct Investment in Pakistan(net) US$ b)
0.80
0.95
0.62
0.99
3.28
Portfolio Investment(net) (US$ b)
26.5%
24.5%
19.8%
19.0%
19.8%
Foreign Exchange Reserves
SBP Liquid Reserves (US$ b)
9.53
10.56
9.81
10.77
13.33
Gold and Foreign Exchange Reserves(US$ b)
11.47
13.16
13.34
14.59
17.92
Official Reserves in weeks of next year imports on cif basis
33.10
26.60
18.80
19.10
21.70
Ratio of Official Reserves to Broad Money(%)
26.5%
24.5%
19.8%
19.%
19.80%
Exchange Rates
Exchange Rate(Yearly Average, Rs. Per US Dollar)
58.50
57.57
59.36
59.86
60.63
Exchange Rate(End Period, Rs.Per US Dollar)
57.81
58.16
59.67
60.18
60.44
Real Effective Exchange Rate (End Period)
92.29
90.48
90.75
95.72
96.03
Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (End Period)
89.40
85.60
80.49
80.68
76.79
External and Domestic Debt
External Debt (US$ b)
33.4
33.3
34.0
35.7
38.7
as % of GDP
40.0%
34.0%
31.1%
28.1%
26.9%
External debt & Liability (US$ b)
35.47
35.26
35.83
37.24
40.17
as % of GDP
42.6
36%
32.7%
29.4%
28.0%
External Debt Servicing (US$ b)
3.15
4.97
2.72
2.80
2.77
Domestic Debt (PKR b)
1,854
1,980
2,150
2,322
2,597
as % of GDP
38.0%
35.1%
33.1%
30.6%
29.8%
Total Debt (PKR b)
3,824
3,950
4,207
4,483
4,946
as %GDP
78.4%
70.0%
64.7%
59.0%
56.8%
Capital Market
SBP General Index of Share Prices (2000-01 = 100)
204
323
363
427
547
KSE 100 Index (Nov. 01, 1991 = 1000)
3,403
5,279
7,450
9,989
13,772
Market Capitalisation of Ordinary Shares (PKR Rs b)
746
1,403
2,037
2,766
3,981
Market Capitalisation of Ordinary Shares (US$ b)
12.91
24.12
34.13
45.97
65.87
Social Sector
Population (Million)
146.8
149.7
152.5
155.4
158.2
Unemployement Rate (%)
7.8%
8.3%
7.7%
7.7%
6.2%
Education Expenditures as % of GNP
1.7%
2.1%
1.0%
1.9%
2.4%
Literacy Rate (%)
51.6%
53.0%
53.0%
54.0%
NA
Health Expenditures as % of GNP
0.7%
0.6%
0.6%
0.5%
0.6%
Infant Mortality Rate per 1000 persons
83.0
83.0
82.0
77.0
76.7
Real GDP (Calender Year Change)
World
4.0%
5.3%
4.9%
5.4%
4.9%
United Stated
2.5%
3.9%
3.2%
3.3%
2.2%
Euro Asia
0.8%
2.0%
1.4%
2.6%
2.3%
Japan
1.4%
2.7%
1.9%
2.2%
2.3%
China
10.0%
10.1%
10.4%
10.7%
10.0%
India
7.3%
7.8%
9.2%
9.2%
8.4%
Indonesia
4.8%
5.0%
5.7%
5.5%
6.0%
Thailand
7.1%
6.3%
4.5%
5.0%
4.5%
Pakistan
4.9%
7.4%
8.0%
6.2%
6.5%
Per Capita GDP Current Prices (US Dollar)
United States
37,641
39,841
41,960
44,190
45,490
Euro Asia
27,133
28,247
29,352
30,802
31,910
Japan
33,180
36,075
35,672
34,188
33,668
China
1,270
1,486
1,716
2,001
2,310
India
543
618
712
797
871
Indonesia
1,100
1,188
1,309
1,640
1,812
Thailand
2,229
2,479
2,707
3,136
3,304
Pakistan
563
655
728
830
893
Inflation % (Consumer Prices)
World
3.6%
3.6%
3.7%
3.8%
3.5%
United States
2.3%
2.7%
3.4%
3.2%
1.9%
Euro Asia
2.1%
2.1%
2.2%
2.2%
2.0%
Japan
-0.2%
0.0%
-0.6%
0.2%
0.3%
China
1.2%
3.9%
1.8%
1.5%
2.2%
India
3.8%
3.8%
4.2%
6.1%
6.2%
Indonesia
6.8%
6.1%
10.5%
13.1%
6.3%
Thailand
1.8%
2.8%
4.5%
4.6%
2.5%
Pakistan
3.1%
4.6%
9.3%
7.9%
6.5%
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